IMD forecasts deficit monsoon
- The southwest monsoon’s overall rainfall prediction for 2015 is 93 per cent, three percentage points below normal. Further the probability of deficit rainfall is higher at 33 per cent over normal rainfall pegged at 28 per cent, Union Minister for Science & Technology and Earth Sciences Harsh Vardhan said here on April 22, releasing the India Meteorological Department (IMD)’s annual monsoon forecast.
- Mr. Vardhan said though it was early to predict a drought, and the data on regional distribution of rainfall will be only available by June, he was keeping State governments and relevant ministries informed .
- The report also notes that El Nino conditions are likely to persist during the south-west monsoon. The IMD is monitoring sea surface conditions over the Pacific and Indian Oceans .
Infra projects on China border on fast track: Centre
- The government is giving “careful and specific attention” to the development of infrastructure in the border areas adjoining China, the Union Minister of State for External Affairs, General (Retd.) V.K. Singh, told Parliament on April 22.
- The Minister said construction of 27 key road projects, measuring 804 km, was on the fast track and the procedure for green clearances had been simplified. The Home Ministry wanted 54 new border outposts to keep a check on frequent Chinese infiltration, the Minister said.
- The statement comes two days after China announced $46 billion of investments in Pakistan as part of its new Silk Road initiative and the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), which passes through Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK). These include highways to the Gwadar port and a hydel power project in PoK, which, sources said, the government is closely monitoring as it was in disputed territory.
Revamping public procurement
- Finance Minister Arun Jaitley’s 2015-16 budget speech signalled the government’s commitment to formally legalise India’s public procurement system as a part of its continuing reforms in public financial management. Following this, the Ministry of Finance is seeking suggestions to refine the Public Procurement Bill of 2012, introduced by the previous government.
- The jurisdiction of the Bill covers any Ministry or Department and any public sector undertaking of the Union government, or any company in which the government has a stake of more than 50 per cent. The procurement processes of the States and the local governments are thus not covered by the Bill.
- It is in this context that we focus on three aspects relating to the Bill: its potential benefits, selected design features, and implementation challenges.
- There are many benefits of a well-designed and well-implemented public procurement policy. These include fiscal savings from annual procurement expenditure; generating much needed fiscal space; and enhanced flexibility to channel government expenditure into growth-enhancing areas. It could also help in a shift towards rule-based institutional procurement.
- However, the poor quality of data on procurement expenditure and its major components means that we don’t have a good estimate of potential savings from a better process. The problem needs to be addressed. Our crude estimate of potential savings generated by the revised Bill ranges between 0.6 per cent and 1.2 per cent of GDP, depending on the extent of efficiency achieved. This could assist in addressing the revenue deficit of 2.9 per cent of GDP projected for 2014-15 by the budget.
- The savings would be greater if the States, whose expenditure equals that of the Union government, and all the public enterprises, also initiated similar procurement reforms. This task could be entrusted to NITI Aayog.
- Several measures may be suggested to improve the design features. In its present form, the Bill’s objective is too complex, which dilutes accountability. Hence, a simpler set of objectives, as is also a global practice, would be desirable. This would also assist in improving the accountability of procuring agencies, and facilitate the task of internal and external auditing agencies.
- Second, the Bill’s definition of the ‘procurement process’ implies that post-tendering steps such as contract management, payment, monitoring and so on, after the award of a contract, are excluded from the ‘procurement process’. The definition should be broadened to include the post-tendering procedures.
- Third, given judicial delays and the lack of economic literacy often displayed by the judiciary, non-judicial procurement redress committees would be preferable. This needs to be better specified in the Bill to prevent undue discretion by procurement agencies and redress committees.
- Fourth, the international practice is to designate a nodal agency for procurement. Hence, we need to clarify whether the proposed Central Purchasing Organisation (CPO) will be such an agency. When a framework for the nodal agency is established, it will need to be reconciled with the decentralised procurement process, which has also been suggested by the two recent committees to the Indian Railways.
- Fifth, the Bill is not applicable to procurements for less than Rs. 5 million, emergency procurements made for disaster management, and procurements for the purpose of national security. While excluding the latter two government activities is routine, the basis for discretion for procurements below Rs. 5 million, which is a significant amount, is not defined. The corresponding procedures for such procurements should also be specified.
- Sixth, the Bill also permits the procuring entity to limit competition in order to achieve other objectives, as well as exempt certain procurements from any of the provisions in the legislation such as the transparency requirements in “public interest”. However, in case of limited competition, certain other requirements such as reporting requirements, advance contract award notice, risk management techniques should be introduced to ensure that transparency is achieved.
- Designing and implementing a strong procurement policy is a long overdue step towards better public financial management, and it has large potential fiscal and governance benefits. Its early passage, therefore, should be a high priority.
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